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Hypothesising a crime

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Karl Popper (1902-1994) is widely regarded as one of the greatest philosophers of science.

A hypothesis is a proposed explanation for a phenomenon. For a hypothesis to be a scientific hypothesis, the scientific method requires that one can test it by refuting it. It is not possible to ‘prove’ an hypothesis or show that an hypothesis is ‘true’, only falsify it. The null hypothesis is that some estimate is due to chance vs the alternative hypothesis that there is some statistically significant effect.If this evidence exists, we can reject the null hypothesis and accept the alternative hypothesis.

In the crime fiction novel Presumed Dead, the investigator reconstructs the crime with a chain of hypotheses. https://wp.me/P1z4yo-n

Get over it?

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PTSD is characterised by failure to recover after experiencing or witnessing a terrifying event. The condition may last months or years, with triggers that can bring back memories of the trauma accompanied by intense emotional and physical reactions.

In the novel ‘PRESUMED DEAD’ a key witness could be affected by PTSD. https://wp.me/P1z4yo-n

 

 

Crime investigation strategy

The novel ‘Presumed Dead’ employs an Euler Walk, that Euler considered with the famous Seven Bridges of Konigsberg problem.Seven Bridges puzzle Read the rest of this entry

Locard evidence

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WHAT ROLE CAN LOCARD EVIDENCE HAVE IN RECONSTRUCTION OF AN ATTEMPTED MURDER ?
In forensic science, Locard’s exchange principle holds that the perpetrator of a crime will bring something into the crime scene and leave with something from it, and that both can be used as forensic evidence.

Presumed Dead is a political crime fiction thriller in which Locard’s Principle enables completion of the investigation’s Euler Walk. https://wp.me/P1z4yo-n

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